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TC Energy Corporation

TRP
53
Oil & Gas Midstream · Energy
Price
$69.76
-0.14 (-0.20%)
Market Cap
$72.67B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
53
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+6.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 974.0M (2021) → 1.04B (2025)

TC Energy owns and operates a large network of pipelines and energy infrastructure across North America. The company moves natural gas, oil, and other energy products through roughly 93,000 kilometers of pipelines, connecting producers in Canada and the United States to customers like utilities, power plants, and industrial facilities. It also owns natural gas storage facilities and power generation assets.

TC Energy earns most of its revenue through long-term contracts, where customers pay a fixed fee to reserve space in the pipelines regardless of how much energy prices move — this makes cash flows relatively stable and predictable. The company operates primarily in Canada, the United States, and Mexico, and its sheer size and the high cost of building competing pipelines give it a strong competitive position. The key risk is regulatory and political pressure around pipeline approvals, as new projects can face years of delays or cancellations, which limits the company's ability to grow its asset base.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+17.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-8.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

4.1%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$25.1B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

TC Energy Corporation is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 17%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
56.7%
Premium pricing power — 56.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
52.1%
Excellent — 52.1% operating margin
ROCE
2.5%
Weak — 2.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+27.2%
Fast-growing sales (27.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-23.1%
Earnings shrinking (-23.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
228%
Turns 228% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
21.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (21.4%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.25
Heavy debt load (2.25)
Interest Cover
2.23x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
21.9x
Growth-priced — P/E 21.9

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+5.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (21.9 → 16.5)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.65%
Moderate income — 3.65% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
-0.8%
Dividend cut (-0.8% YoY) — warning sign

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