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Tejon Ranch

TRC
34
Conglomerates · Industrials
Price
$18.18
-0.48 (-2.57%)
Market Cap
$490.9M
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+2.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 26.4M (2021) → 26.9M (2025)

Tejon Ranch Co. owns and operates one of the largest private landholdings in California — a roughly 270,000-acre ranch located about 60 miles north of Los Angeles. The company uses this land for several different businesses, including farming (almonds, pistachios, wine grapes), cattle grazing, and commercial real estate development. Its biggest long-term project is Centennial, a planned residential and commercial community that would eventually house tens of thousands of people.

The company earns money from a mix of sources: farming sales, mineral royalties from oil and gas extraction on its land, and leasing land for commercial and industrial use near Interstate 5. It operates entirely within California, and its core competitive advantage is simply owning a massive, strategically located piece of land that cannot be replicated. The main risk is that its large real estate development projects, including Centennial, have faced decades of environmental and legal challenges, which has kept the company unprofitable and dependent on slower-moving revenue streams in the meantime.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+15.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+111.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

8.0%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~21 months

$5M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Growth context

Tejon Ranch is growing revenue at 16% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
7.9%
Thin — 7.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
-11.9%
Losing money on operations — -11.9%
ROCE
-0.2%
Weak — -0.2% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+19.2%
Fast-growing sales (19.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-28.1%
Earnings shrinking (-28.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
639%
Turns 639% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-115.1%
Burning cash (-115.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.20
Conservative — low debt load (0.20)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
290.0x
Expensive — P/E 290.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+122.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (290.0 → 168.0)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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