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The AES Corporation

AES
34
Independent Power Producers · Utilities
Price
$14.77
-0.03 (-0.20%)
Market Cap
$10.53B
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+6.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 666.0M (2021) → 712.0M (2025)

AES Corporation is a global energy company that generates and sells electricity. It owns and operates power plants — including natural gas, coal, wind, and solar facilities — and sells that electricity to governments, utilities, and large businesses. AES is one of the larger independent power producers in the world, operating across more than 14 countries.

AES makes money primarily by signing long-term contracts to supply electricity, which creates a relatively steady stream of revenue. The company operates heavily in the Americas, including the United States, Chile, Colombia, and Brazil, with additional presence in Europe and Asia. Its long-term contracts provide some protection against short-term energy price swings, but AES carries a significant amount of debt, which is common in the capital-heavy utility industry. The company has been shifting its portfolio toward renewable energy, and how quickly it can retire older fossil fuel assets and replace them with cleaner sources will be a key factor in its future financial performance.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

1 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on AES in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+8.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+871.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.6%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~8 months

$1.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

The AES Corporation has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
20.1%
Thin — 20.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
18.4%
Healthy — 18.4% operating margin
ROCE
1.7%
Weak — 1.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+3.0%
Slow sales growth (3.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-4.6%
Earnings shrinking (-4.6% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
371%
Turns 371% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-11.8%
Burning cash (-11.8%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
7.01
Heavy debt load (7.01)
Interest Cover
1.45x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.4x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
7.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 7.9

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.76%
Healthy income — 4.76% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+1.0%
Dividend flat

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