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The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 logo

The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061

CGABL
39
Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services
Price
$16.35
+0.03 (+0.18%)
Market Cap
$5.88B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
39
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+2.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 362.6M (2021) → 370.9M (2025)

Functions as a financing subsidiary/special purpose entity

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-73.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-202.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

100.0%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.7B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
0.0%
Thin — 0.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
0.0%
Thin — 0.0% operating margin
ROCE
0.0%
Weak — 0.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-28.9%
Shrinking sales (-28.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
+744.4%
Earnings growing fast (744.4% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
176%
Turns 176% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
20.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (20.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
0.13x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.1x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
10.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.27%
Moderate income — 3.27% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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