The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Stock Analysis & Winston Score

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company owns and operates 306 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including 208 The Cheesecake Factory and 29 North Italia; and a collection of Fox Restaurant Concepts, as well as 29 The Cheeseca

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+53.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

8.1%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$235M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is growing revenue at 6% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

15.8%

Thin — 15.8% gross margin

Operating Margin

5.6%

Thin — 5.6% operating margin

ROCE

4.1%

Weak — 4.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+5.1%

Slow sales growth (5.1% YoY)

EPS YoY

+7.9%

Modest earnings growth (7.9% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency

6/8 quarters

Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

193%

Turns 193% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

4.5%

Thin free cash flow (4.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

1.89

Elevated debt (1.89)

Interest Cover

18.82x

Comfortably covers interest (18.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

22.7x

no trend

Growth-priced — P/E 22.7

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward

+3.7

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (22.7 → 19.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

1.48%

no trend

Small dividend — 1.48% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth

+5.6%

no trend

Dividend growing modestly (5.6% YoY)

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