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The Estée Lauder Companies

EL
25
Household & Personal Products · Consumer Defensive
Price
$82.13
-0.71 (-0.86%)
Market Cap
$29.70B
Winston Score
25
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

2.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 368.2M (2021) → 360.1M (2025)

Estée Lauder is one of the world's largest makers of beauty products, including skincare, makeup, perfume, and hair care. It owns more than 20 brands — including Estée Lauder, Clinique, MAC, La Mer, and Jo Malone — and sells to everyday consumers through department stores, specialty retailers, and its own websites. The company competes in the global prestige beauty market, meaning it focuses on higher-priced products rather than drugstore brands.

Estée Lauder makes money by selling its products directly to consumers and through wholesale partnerships with retailers worldwide. It operates in over 150 countries, with a historically strong presence in Asia, particularly China, which has been both a major growth engine and a significant source of recent weakness as Chinese consumer spending slowed. The company's main moat is its portfolio of well-known brand names and its long relationships with premium retailers, but its negative return on invested capital signals that profitability has been under real pressure, and a recovery in the Chinese luxury beauty market is the key factor to watch.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-12.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-91.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$316M/ year

2.2% of revenue

In line with sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.5%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$2.9B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

The Estée Lauder Companies's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
72.1%
Premium pricing power — 72.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
0.2%
Thin — 0.2% operating margin
ROCE
0.1%
Weak — 0.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-3.3%
Shrinking sales (-3.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
7.7%
Modest free cash flow (7.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.89
Elevated debt (1.89)
Interest Cover
2.74x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.7x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.67%
Small dividend — 1.67% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-18.1%
Dividend cut (-18.1% YoY) — warning sign

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