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The Hanover Insurance Group logo

The Hanover Insurance Group

THG
61
Insurance - Property & Casualty · Financial Services
Price
$213.23
+6.23 (+3.01%)
Market Cap
$7.46B
Winston Score
61
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

1.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 36.4M (2021) → 35.7M (2025)

The Hanover Insurance Group sells property and casualty insurance in the United States. Its main products are home, auto, and business insurance policies, sold to individuals, families, and small-to-mid-sized businesses. The company distributes almost entirely through independent insurance agents rather than selling directly to customers.

The Hanover makes money by collecting premiums from policyholders and investing those funds, then paying out claims when losses occur. It operates exclusively in the U.S. and generates roughly $4 billion in annual premiums, making it a mid-sized regional insurer. Its reliance on independent agents is a double-edged sword — those relationships create loyalty and distribution reach, but agents can also shift business to competing carriers. The key risk the company faces is catastrophe losses from severe weather events, which have become more frequent and costly in recent years and can significantly pressure profitability in any given year.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+6.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+50.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.0%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$244M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

The Hanover Insurance Group is growing revenue at 7% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
43.7%
Healthy — 43.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
13.9%
Healthy — 13.9% operating margin
ROCE
5.4%
Weak — 5.4% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+6.6%
Slow sales growth (6.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
+68.3%
Earnings growing fast (68.3% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
174%
Turns 174% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
18.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (18.7%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.24
Conservative — low debt load (0.24)
Interest Cover
20.24x
Comfortably covers interest (20.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
10.6x
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.6

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.69%
Small dividend — 1.69% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+5.6%
Dividend growing modestly (5.6% YoY)

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