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The St. Joe Company

JOE
53
Real Estate - Diversified · Real Estate
Winston Score
53
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

The St. Joe Company is a real estate developer based in Northwest Florida, primarily around the Panama City and Panama City Beach area. It owns a large amount of land — roughly 170,000 acres — and uses that land to build homes, sell residential lots, develop commercial properties, and operate hospitality businesses like hotels and clubs. Its main customers are homebuyers, businesses looking for commercial space, and tourists visiting the Florida Panhandle.

St. Joe makes money by selling land and homes, collecting rent from commercial tenants, and earning fees from its hospitality and membership businesses. Its massive land holdings in a single fast-growing region give it a unique competitive position, since that land cannot be replicated. The company operates almost entirely in Florida, which keeps it focused but also concentrated. The key growth driver is continued population migration into Northwest Florida, while the main risk is that a slowdown in housing demand or a major hurricane could significantly hurt the business.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-20.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

1.4%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$136M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

The St. Joe Company is growing revenue at 5% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
38.3%
Modest — 38.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
18.4%
Healthy — 18.4% operating margin
ROCE
1.4%
Weak — 1.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+26.6%
Fast-growing sales (26.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
+45.9%
Earnings growing fast (45.9% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
182%
Turns 182% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
38.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (38.4%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.73
Moderate — manageable debt (0.73)
Interest Cover
4.94x
Adequate interest coverage (4.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
31.7x
no trend
Pricey — P/E 31.7

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
-232.1
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.94%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.94% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+10.7%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (10.7% YoY)

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