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The Timken Company

TKR
43
Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories · Industrials
Winston Score
43
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Timken makes bearings and steel products used inside machines that spin or move — think factory equipment, wind turbines, trucks, and aerospace parts. Bearings are small but critical components that reduce friction and help machines run smoothly. Timken is one of the largest bearing manufacturers in the world and also operates a specialty steel business serving industrial and energy customers.

Timken earns revenue by selling engineered bearings, related mechanical parts, and specialty steel to manufacturers and industrial companies across many sectors. The company operates globally, with significant sales in North America, Europe, and Asia, and generates roughly $4 billion in annual revenue. Its moat comes from deep engineering expertise and long-standing customer relationships, since bearings are precision parts where reliability matters more than price alone. The key growth driver is expanding demand from renewable energy and electric vehicles, while the main risk is exposure to cyclical industrial markets, where customer spending can drop sharply during economic slowdowns.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+8.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+25.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

3.8%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$346M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

The Timken Company is growing revenue at 8% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
30.3%
Modest — 30.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
14.1%
Healthy — 14.1% operating margin
ROCE
3.3%
Weak — 3.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+3.3%
Slow sales growth (3.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-5.6%
Earnings shrinking (-5.6% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
174%
Turns 174% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
8.2%
Modest free cash flow (8.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.66
Moderate — manageable debt (0.66)
Interest Cover
10.17x
Comfortably covers interest (10.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
31.6x
no trend
Pricey — P/E 31.6

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+8.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (31.6 → 23.2)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.99%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.99% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+2.9%
no trend
Dividend flat

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