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The Toronto-Dominion Bank logo

The Toronto-Dominion Bank

TD
42
Banks - Diversified · Financial Services
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
42
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

The Toronto-Dominion Bank, known as TD Bank, is one of the largest banks in North America. It offers everyday banking services like checking accounts, savings accounts, mortgages, credit cards, and loans to regular people and businesses. TD also runs a large wealth management and insurance business, and it owns a significant stake in Charles Schwab, the U.S. brokerage firm.

TD makes money by charging interest on loans, collecting fees on accounts and services, and earning commissions through its investment and insurance arms. It operates across Canada and the United States, where it has a major retail banking presence along the East Coast, making it one of the few Canadian banks with a truly large U.S. footprint. However, TD recently faced serious regulatory scrutiny in the U.S. related to anti-money laundering failures, resulting in heavy fines and growth restrictions on its American operations — a key risk that will shape the bank's near-term performance.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
55.2%
Premium pricing power — 55.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
18.6%
Healthy — 18.6% operating margin
ROCE
1.3%
Weak — 1.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-5.6%
Shrinking sales (-5.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
-15.0%
Earnings shrinking (-15.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
103%
Turns 103% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
11.6%
Modest free cash flow (11.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.17
Heavy debt load (2.17)
Interest Cover
0.38x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.4x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.6x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 20.6

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+9.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (20.6 → 11.6)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.51%
no trend
Moderate income — 2.51% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+3.8%
no trend
Dividend growing modestly (3.8% YoY)

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