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Third Coast Bancshares

TCBX
58
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Winston Score
58
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Third Coast Bancshares is a regional bank based in Texas that provides loans and deposit accounts to businesses and individuals. Its core customers are small and mid-sized businesses, real estate developers, and entrepreneurs, mainly across the Houston, Dallas, and Austin markets. The bank focuses heavily on commercial lending, meaning it lends money to businesses rather than mostly to homeowners.

Third Coast makes money by collecting interest on loans and charging fees for banking services. It is a relatively small bank with a market cap around $500 million, competing against much larger regional and national banks in one of the fastest-growing states in the country. Its main competitive edge is local relationship-based banking, where loan officers know their clients personally rather than relying on automated processes. The key growth driver is Texas's continued population and business expansion, which fuels demand for commercial loans, but the main risk is rising loan losses if the economy slows and business borrowers struggle to repay their debts.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+21.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+14.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

Insider Activity

21.6%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~2 years

$425M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Growth context

Third Coast Bancshares is growing revenue at 21% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
56.3%
Premium pricing power — 56.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
18.7%
Healthy — 18.7% operating margin
ROCE
2.4%
Weak — 2.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+12.9%
Fast-growing sales (12.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
+35.9%
Earnings growing fast (35.9% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
2%
Weak — only 2% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-3.8%
Burning cash (-3.8%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.22
Conservative — low debt load (0.22)
Interest Cover
0.53x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.5x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
8.9x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 8.9

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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