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TMD Energy Limited

TMDE
18
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy
Price
$0.86
+0.01 (+1.39%)
Market Cap
$20.3M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange American
Winston Score
18
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Based on the IPO prospectus (annual filing). This score will refine automatically once the company reports its first quarters.

TMD Energy Limited is a small energy company focused on the trading and distribution of petroleum products. It buys refined fuels — such as diesel, gasoline, and other oil-based products — and sells them to industrial customers, businesses, and other buyers who need fuel to operate. The company works in the oil and gas refining and marketing industry, acting mainly as a middleman between refiners and end users.

TMD Energy makes money by buying petroleum products at one price and selling them at a slightly higher price, keeping the difference as profit. Its very thin gross margin of around 2.3% is typical for fuel trading businesses, where competition is intense and pricing power is limited. The company is very small, with a market cap near zero, which means it has limited financial resources and scale compared to larger energy distributors. The main risk it faces is that any squeeze in fuel price spreads or a drop in demand could quickly erase its already narrow profits.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

87.2%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

0.0% over 2y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 23.1M (2022) → 23.1M (2024)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
2.3%
no trend
Thin — 2.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
0.9%
no trend
Thin — 0.9% operating margin
ROCE
6.1%
no trend
Weak — 6.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+8.8%
no trend
Steady sales growth (8.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-5.9%
no trend
Earnings shrinking (-5.9% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
N/A
no trend
Data not available

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-1294%
no trend
Weak — only -1294% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-4.1%
no trend
Burning cash (-4.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
4.46
no trend
Heavy debt load (4.46)
Interest Cover
1.30x
no trend
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.0x
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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