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Tourmaline Oil

TRMLF
52
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
$44.56
+0.17 (+0.39%)
Market Cap
$17.30B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+21.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 316.8M (2021) → 383.9M (2025)

Tourmaline Oil Corp. is a Canadian oil and gas company that finds and produces natural gas, natural gas liquids, and crude oil. It sells these energy products mainly to utilities, industrial buyers, and energy marketers across Canada and the United States. Tourmaline is Canada's largest natural gas producer, with most of its operations concentrated in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin in Alberta and British Columbia.

The company makes money by selling the hydrocarbons it extracts, so its revenue rises and falls with commodity prices. Tourmaline keeps costs low by owning much of its own processing and pipeline infrastructure, which gives it more control over margins than many smaller peers. The company has grown steadily through acquisitions and drilling, but its biggest risk is a sustained drop in North American natural gas prices, which directly squeezes profitability — as the thin margins shown in recent financials suggest is already a pressure point.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-10.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+198.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

5.2%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.4B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Tourmaline Oil's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
31.1%
Modest — 31.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
27.1%
Excellent — 27.1% operating margin
ROCE
2.6%
Weak — 2.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+4.7%
Slow sales growth (4.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
-45.9%
Earnings shrinking (-45.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
457%
Turns 457% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
6.8%
Modest free cash flow (6.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.07
Conservative — low debt load (0.07)
Interest Cover
6.74x
Adequate interest coverage (6.7x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
24.0x
Growth-priced — P/E 24.0

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+15.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (24.0 → 8.2)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.35%
Healthy income — 4.35% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+2.3%
Dividend flat

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