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TPG RE Finance Trust

TRTX
45
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Price
$7.95
-0.05 (-0.63%)
pre-market:$8.10+1.89%
Market Cap
$610.3M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 13, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Share count falling — buybacks

2.7% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 81.7M (2021) → 79.4M (2025)

TPG RE Finance Trust is a real estate finance company that lends money to owners of commercial properties like office buildings, apartment complexes, hotels, and warehouses. Instead of owning properties directly, it acts as a lender, providing large loans — mostly floating-rate bridge loans — to real estate investors and developers across the United States. It is managed by TPG, a large global investment firm, which gives it access to deal flow and institutional relationships.

The company makes money by collecting interest on its loan portfolio, with revenue tied closely to interest rates since most of its loans have floating rates. It operates primarily in the U.S. and had a loan portfolio of roughly a few billion dollars in recent periods. Its connection to TPG is a competitive advantage, but the business carries meaningful risk from commercial real estate stress, particularly in the office sector, where loan defaults and write-downs have pressured earnings and book value in recent years.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
100.0%
Premium pricing power — 100.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
-66.4%
Losing money on operations — -66.4%
ROCE
-0.2%
Weak — -0.2% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-18.8%
Shrinking sales (-18.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-14.4%
Earnings shrinking (-14.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
160%
Turns 160% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
31.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (31.1%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
3.36
Heavy debt load (3.36)
Interest Cover
0.94x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.9x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
14.4x
Attractive valuation — P/E 14.4

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+6.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (14.4 → 7.8)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
12.00%
Healthy income — 12.00% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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