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Traeger

COOK
22
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$69.19
-0.13 (-0.19%)
Market Cap
$192.5M
Winston Score
22
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+18.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 2.2M (2021) → 2.7M (2025)

Traeger makes wood pellet grills for home cooks and outdoor cooking enthusiasts. Its main products are pellet-fueled grills, wood pellet fuel, and a line of sauces, rubs, and accessories. Traeger is widely credited with popularizing the wood pellet grill category in the United States and sells its products through big-box retailers like Home Depot and Costco, as well as its own website.

Traeger earns money by selling grills as one-time hardware purchases, then generating repeat revenue from pellets and accessories that grill owners keep buying. It operates primarily in the United States, with some international presence, and generates roughly $700–800 million in annual revenue. The company's brand recognition gives it an edge in a niche it largely created, but it faces growing competition from Weber and other grill makers entering the pellet segment. Its biggest challenge is returning to profitability after taking on significant debt during a post-pandemic sales slowdown.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-34.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+316.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

53.6%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$34M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Traeger's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
45.7%
Healthy — 45.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
-1.1%
Losing money on operations — -1.1%
ROCE
-0.2%
Weak — -0.2% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-15.3%
Shrinking sales (-15.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
9.9%
Modest free cash flow (9.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.43
Heavy debt load (2.43)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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