Transcontinental logo

Transcontinental

TCL-A.TO
42
Specialty Business Services · Industrials
Price
C$5.08
+0.02 (+0.40%)
Market Cap
C$425.2M
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
42
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Winston Score between 40 and 70. The stock passes some quality checks but not all.

Transcontinental Inc. is a Canadian company that does two main things: it prints flyers, newspapers, and other marketing materials, and it makes flexible plastic packaging. Its printing customers include retailers and media companies across Canada, while its packaging products — things like food wrappers and pouches — are sold to food and consumer goods companies. It is one of the largest printing companies in Canada and has grown its packaging business significantly over the past decade.

Transcontinental earns money by charging customers for printing services and by manufacturing and selling packaging materials. It operates mainly in Canada and the United States, with some presence in Latin America. The company's moat comes from long-term customer contracts and the high cost for clients to switch suppliers, particularly in packaging. The main risk is that the printing side of the business faces steady, structural decline as retailers shift marketing budgets away from physical flyers toward digital advertising, which puts pressure on overall revenue over time.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
5.8%
Thin — 5.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
5.8%
Thin — 5.8% operating margin
ROCE
0.6%
Weak — 0.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-14.8%
Shrinking sales (-14.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-8.5%
Earnings shrinking (-8.5% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
209%
Turns 209% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
10.0%
Modest free cash flow (10.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.37
Conservative — low debt load (0.37)
Interest Cover
5.32x
Adequate interest coverage (5.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
3.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 3.3

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
408.60%
Healthy income — 408.60% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+978.9%
Dividend growing fast (978.9% YoY)

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