Transcontinental logo

Transcontinental

TCL-B.TO
42
Specialty Business Services · Industrials
Price
C$6.40
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
C$535.4M
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
42
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Winston Score between 40 and 70. The stock passes some quality checks but not all.

Transcontinental Inc. is a Canadian company that does two main things: it prints flyers, newspapers, and packaging materials, and it makes flexible plastic packaging for food and consumer goods. Its printing customers include grocery retailers and media companies, while its packaging customers are food brands that need wrappers, pouches, and bags. It is one of the largest printing and packaging companies in Canada.

Transcontinental earns revenue by selling printed materials and manufactured packaging products directly to businesses. It operates mainly in Canada and the United States, with some presence in Latin America, and generates roughly $2.5 billion in annual sales. Its large printing network and long-term contracts with major retailers give it some stability, but the printing side of the business faces a structural decline as retailers shift away from paper flyers toward digital advertising. The key question for investors is whether growth in flexible packaging can fully offset the slow erosion of the traditional printing segment.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
5.8%
Thin — 5.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
5.8%
Thin — 5.8% operating margin
ROCE
0.6%
Weak — 0.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-14.8%
Shrinking sales (-14.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-8.5%
Earnings shrinking (-8.5% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
209%
Turns 209% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
10.0%
Modest free cash flow (10.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.37
Conservative — low debt load (0.37)
Interest Cover
5.32x
Adequate interest coverage (5.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
3.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 3.3

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-2.6
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
408.60%
Healthy income — 408.60% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+978.9%
Dividend growing fast (978.9% YoY)

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