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Triple Flag Precious Metals

TFPM
72
Other Precious Metals · Basic Materials
Price
$27.36
+0.20 (+0.74%)
Market Cap
$5.65B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
72
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.

Share count rising — dilution

+37.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 148.0M (2021) → 204.1M (2025)

Triple Flag Precious Metals is a Canadian company that finances gold and silver mines around the world. Instead of digging for metals itself, it pays mining companies upfront cash in exchange for the right to buy a portion of their future metal production at a fixed, low price. Its customers are mining operators who need capital, and its end markets are gold, silver, and other precious metals.

Triple Flag earns revenue by purchasing metals at below-market prices and selling them at full market prices, keeping the difference as profit. It operates across roughly 230 assets in over 20 countries, with major exposure to mines in Australia, Canada, and Latin America. This "streaming and royalty" model gives it high margins and insulates it from rising mining costs, since those costs stay with the mine operators. The main risk is that lower gold and silver prices would directly shrink its profit margins, as its revenue is tied to commodity prices it cannot control.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+76.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+143.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

1.9%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$274M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Triple Flag Precious Metals grew revenue 76% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
72.0%
Premium pricing power — 72.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
66.9%
Excellent — 66.9% operating margin
ROCE
4.5%
Weak — 4.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+54.3%
Fast-growing sales (54.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+3700.0%
Earnings growing fast (3700.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
115%
Turns 115% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
38.5%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (38.5%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.00
Conservative — low debt load (0.00)
Interest Cover
95.69x
Comfortably covers interest (95.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.0x
Fair value — P/E 18.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+0.2
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.76%
Small dividend — 0.76% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+4.5%
Dividend growing modestly (4.5% YoY)

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