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Tvardi Therapeutics

TVRD
Biotechnology · Healthcare
Price
$3.20
+0.12 (+3.90%)
Market Cap
$30.0M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
Winston looking sleepy
No score yet — Winston is napping.
We couldn’t gather enough financial data to score this stock reliably.

Share count rising — dilution

+452.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.4M (2021) → 7.8M (2025)

Tvardi Therapeutics is a small biotechnology company focused on developing drugs to treat cancer. It works on therapies that target a protein called STAT3, which plays a role in helping cancer cells survive and grow. The company is in the clinical-stage, meaning its drugs are still being tested in humans and have not yet been approved for sale.

Tvardi makes no product revenue right now. It funds its research through investor capital and grants while it runs clinical trials. The company operates primarily in the United States and is very small, with a market cap near zero. Its potential edge lies in its focus on STAT3 inhibition, a target that has been difficult for other companies to drug effectively. The main risk is that clinical trials may fail, and like most early-stage biotechs, the company will need to raise more money to keep operating, which can dilute existing shareholders.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-100.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-40.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$18M/ year

Declining (-45% vs prior year)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

35.2%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~13 months

$25M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Revenue declining

Tvardi Therapeutics's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
N/A
Data not available
Operating Margin
N/A
Data not available
ROCE
-48.6%
Weak — -48.6% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-100.0%
Shrinking sales (-100.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
N/A
Data not available

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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