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Union Pacific Corporation

UNP
54
Railroads · Industrials
Price
$301.75
+2.33 (+0.78%)
Market Cap
$179.15B
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

9.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 655.4M (2021) → 593.5M (2025)

Union Pacific runs one of the largest freight railroad networks in the United States. It moves goods like coal, grain, chemicals, automobiles, and consumer products across 23 states in the western two-thirds of the country. Its customers include farmers, manufacturers, retailers, and energy companies that need to ship heavy cargo long distances.

Union Pacific makes money by charging customers a fee each time freight moves across its rail network. It operates roughly 32,000 miles of track, giving it a strong geographic moat — railroads are extremely expensive to build, so competitors cannot easily enter the market. The company faces a key risk from shifts in energy markets, since coal shipments have been declining for years as utilities switch to cleaner power sources. Growth depends on winning more intermodal business, where shipping containers move between trains and trucks, as well as on broader industrial activity across the U.S. economy.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

31 trades / 12mo

15 Congressional buys and 16 sells on UNP in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+3.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+6.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$744M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Union Pacific Corporation is growing revenue at 3% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
45.2%
Healthy — 45.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
39.4%
Excellent — 39.4% operating margin
ROCE
4.9%
Weak — 4.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+1.9%
Nearly flat sales (1.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
+9.4%
Earnings growing (9.4% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
132%
Turns 132% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
23.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (23.1%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.59
Elevated debt (1.59)
Interest Cover
7.58x
Adequate interest coverage (7.6x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
24.8x
Growth-priced — P/E 24.8

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+5.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (24.8 → 18.9)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.92%
Small dividend — 1.92% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+3.0%
Dividend flat

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