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United Fire Group

UFCS
66
Insurance - Property & Casualty · Financial Services
Price
$51.09
+1.10 (+2.20%)
Market Cap
$1.31B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
66
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+5.1% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 25.1M (2021) → 26.4M (2025)

United Fire Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance for individuals and businesses in the United States. The company offers commercial and personal lines of property and casualty insurance; and commercial multiple peril and inland marine insurance, as well as assumed reinsurance products. Its commercial policies include fire and allied lines, other liability, automobile, workers' compensation, and fidelity and surety coverage; and personal lines comp

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+68.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

13.7%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$162M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

United Fire Group is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 12%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
43.7%
Healthy — 43.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.3%
Modest — 10.3% operating margin
ROCE
3.5%
Weak — 3.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+10.8%
Steady sales growth (10.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
+94.3%
Earnings growing fast (94.3% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
223%
Turns 223% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
20.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (20.1%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.15
Conservative — low debt load (0.15)
Interest Cover
13.71x
Comfortably covers interest (13.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
10.1x
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.1

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.9
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.34%
Small dividend — 1.34% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+12.5%
Dividend growing fast (12.5% YoY)

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