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Valley National Ban

VLY
62
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$14.95
-0.24 (-1.58%)
Market Cap
$8.28B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
62
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+37.5% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 410.0M (2021) → 563.8M (2025)

Valley National Bancorp operates as the holding company for Valley National Bank that provides various commercial, retail, insurance, and wealth management financial services products. It operates through Commercial Lending, Consumer Lending, and Investment Management segments. The company offers non-interest bearing, savings, NOW, money market, and time deposit accounts, commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, residential mortgage, and automobile loans; loans secured by the cash surr

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

1 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on VLY in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
59.6%
Premium pricing power — 59.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
24.0%
Excellent — 24.0% operating margin
ROCE
2.0%
Weak — 2.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.1%
Shrinking sales (-0.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
+63.8%
Earnings growing fast (63.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
87%
Modest — 87% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
15.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (15.7%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.34
Conservative — low debt load (0.34)
Interest Cover
0.57x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.6x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
13.2x
Attractive valuation — P/E 13.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.02%
Moderate income — 3.02% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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