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Vonovia SE

VONOY
56
Real Estate - Services · Real Estate
Price
$11.98
+0.01 (+0.08%)
Market Cap
$20.33B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+36.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.25B (2021) → 1.71B (2025)

Vonovia SE is Germany's largest residential real estate company. It owns and manages roughly 540,000 apartments across Germany, Austria, and Sweden, renting them to everyday tenants — mostly working and middle-class households. The company is essentially a giant landlord operating in a market where housing demand consistently outpaces supply.

Vonovia makes money primarily by collecting rent from its tenants, with additional income from property sales and residential services like maintenance and modernization work. It operates almost entirely in German-speaking Europe and Scandinavia, and its scale gives it a cost advantage over smaller landlords. However, the company carries a heavy debt load from years of acquisitions, and rising interest rates have significantly increased its borrowing costs. The key risk going forward is managing that debt while navigating strict German rent regulations, which limit how much Vonovia can raise rents even as its own costs climb.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+12.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-56.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$11M/ year

Rising (+179% vs prior year)

0.2% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

57.0%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$86.2B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Vonovia SE is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 13%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
61.2%
Premium pricing power — 61.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
42.2%
Excellent — 42.2% operating margin
ROCE
0.9%
Weak — 0.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+4.4%
Slow sales growth (4.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
54%
Weak — only 54% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
23.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (23.4%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.48
Elevated debt (1.48)
Interest Cover
1.95x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.9x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
5.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 5.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-3.1
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
5.54%
Healthy income — 5.54% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
-52.1%
Dividend cut (-52.1% YoY) — warning sign

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