Warner Music Group (WMG) Stock Analysis & Winston Score

Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through Recorded Music and Music Publishing segments. The Recorded Music segment is involved in the discovery and development of recording artists, as well as related marketing, promotion, distribution, sale, and licensing of music created by such recording artists; markets its music catalog through compilations and reissuances of previou

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+16.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+405.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

2.0%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$741M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Warner Music Group is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 17%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

46.3%

Healthy — 46.3% gross margin

Operating Margin

15.2%

Healthy — 15.2% operating margin

ROCE

27.5%

Exceptional — 27.5% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+3.9%

Slow sales growth (3.9% YoY)

EPS YoY

-30.2%

Earnings shrinking (-30.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

151%

Turns 151% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

3.8%

Thin free cash flow (3.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.30

Conservative — low debt load (0.30)

Interest Cover

9.19x

Comfortably covers interest (9.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

31.7x

no trend

Pricey — P/E 31.7

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward

+17.7

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (31.7 → 14.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

2.70%

no trend

Moderate income — 2.70% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth

+5.6%

no trend

Dividend growing modestly (5.6% YoY)

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