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Watsco

WSO
48
Industrial - Distribution · Industrials
Winston Score
48
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Watsco is the largest distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment in the United States. It sells products from major brands like Carrier, Trane, and Rheem to contractors — the technicians who install and repair HVAC systems in homes and businesses. The company does not manufacture anything itself; it simply moves products from factories to the people who do the actual installation work.

Watsco makes money by buying equipment and parts in bulk and reselling them at a markup through its network of over 690 distribution locations across the U.S., Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. Its scale and long-term exclusive distribution agreements with top manufacturers give it a meaningful edge over smaller regional competitors. The key growth driver is the ongoing replacement cycle for aging HVAC systems, especially as new federal energy-efficiency standards are pushing homeowners and businesses to upgrade older equipment — though a slowdown in housing and construction activity remains a real risk to demand.

Winston Score History

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3 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 2 sells on WSO in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
27.9%
Modest — 27.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
7.2%
Modest — 7.2% operating margin
ROCE
3.8%
Weak — 3.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-4.5%
Shrinking sales (-4.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-7.7%
Earnings shrinking (-7.7% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
147%
Turns 147% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
9.6%
Modest free cash flow (9.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.04
Conservative — low debt load (0.04)
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
32.1x
no trend
Pricey — P/E 32.1

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+5.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (32.1 → 26.7)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.07%
no trend
Moderate income — 3.07% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+10.8%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (10.8% YoY)

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