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Webster Financial Corporation

WBS
58
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$76.01
-0.25 (-0.33%)
Market Cap
$12.32B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
58
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+78.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 90.2M (2021) → 160.6M (2025)

Webster Financial is a regional bank based in Stamford, Connecticut. It offers everyday banking services like checking accounts, savings accounts, loans, and mortgages to individuals and businesses, mainly across the northeastern United States. Webster is best known for its Health Savings Account (HSA) business, which it runs through a division called HSA Bank — one of the largest HSA providers in the country.

Webster makes money by collecting interest on loans and earning fees on its banking and HSA services. The bank operates primarily in Connecticut, New York, and nearby states, with roughly $79 billion in assets following its 2022 merger with Sterling Bancorp. Its HSA business is a meaningful competitive advantage because HSA deposits are low-cost and sticky — customers rarely switch providers. The main risk Webster faces is interest rate sensitivity, since changes in rates directly affect how much profit the bank earns on the difference between what it pays depositors and what it charges borrowers.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-6.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+15.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$48M/ year

1.1% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.8%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$76.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Webster Financial Corporation's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
63.8%
Premium pricing power — 63.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
20.2%
Excellent — 20.2% operating margin
ROCE
1.3%
Weak — 1.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+3.7%
Slow sales growth (3.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+37.8%
Earnings growing fast (37.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
122%
Turns 122% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
27.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (27.6%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.59
Conservative — low debt load (0.59)
Interest Cover
0.77x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.8x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
12.4x
Attractive valuation — P/E 12.4

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+0.8
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.09%
Moderate income — 2.09% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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