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Weyerhaeuser Company

WY
32
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Price
$24.49
+0.04 (+0.16%)
Market Cap
$17.66B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
32
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

3.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 751.0M (2021) → 721.8M (2025)

Weyerhaeuser is one of the largest private owners of timberlands in the United States, managing roughly 10 million acres of forests. The company grows and harvests trees, then sells timber and wood products like lumber, plywood, and engineered wood used in homebuilding and construction. Its main customers are homebuilders, wood product manufacturers, and distributors across North America.

Weyerhaeuser makes money by selling logs and timber from its forests, manufacturing and selling wood products, and collecting fees from real estate sales on its land. It operates primarily in the U.S., with some timberlands in Canada, and its massive land ownership gives it a natural cost advantage that is difficult for competitors to replicate. Because a large share of its revenue depends on new home construction, the company is heavily exposed to the housing market — when interest rates rise and homebuilding slows, demand for lumber and wood products tends to fall sharply, pressuring both revenue and margins.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

17 trades / 12mo

8 Congressional buys and 9 sells on WY in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
18.4%
Thin — 18.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
14.3%
Healthy — 14.3% operating margin
ROCE
1.7%
Weak — 1.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-2.4%
Shrinking sales (-2.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
+10.3%
Earnings growing (10.3% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
137%
Turns 137% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-1.7%
Burning cash (-1.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.58
Conservative — low debt load (0.58)
Interest Cover
1.95x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (2.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
44.5x
Pricey — P/E 44.5

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
-26.2
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.53%
Moderate income — 3.53% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+2.4%
Dividend flat

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