Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Stock Analysis & Winston Score

Exxon Mobil is one of the largest oil and gas companies in the world. It finds oil and natural gas underground, pulls it out of the earth, and then refines it into products like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and chemicals. Its customers include drivers, airlines, manufacturers, and industrial companies across the globe.

Exxon makes money by selling those fuels and chemical products, with prices tied closely to global oil and gas markets. It operates in dozens of countries, with major production in the United States, Guyana, and the Middle East, and it generates over $400 billion in annual revenue. The company's size gives it an advantage — it can spread costs across massive projects that smaller rivals cannot afford. The biggest risk Exxon faces is that oil prices are outside its control, and a sharp drop in crude prices can quickly shrink profits, as seen during past downturns.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

28 trades / 12mo

12 Congressional buys and 15 sells on XOM in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+44.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+112.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$1.2B/ year

↑ Rising (+22% vs prior year)

0.4% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

→ Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$10.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Exxon Mobil Corporation grew revenue 44% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

+0.7% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 4.28B (2021) → 4.30B (2025)

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

22.4%

Thin — 22.4% gross margin

Operating Margin

15.9%

Healthy — 15.9% operating margin

ROCE

6.0%

Weak — 6.0% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+9.6%

Steady sales growth (+9.6% YoY)

EPS YoY

+9.8%

Earnings growing (+9.8% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency

1/8 quarters

Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

182%

Turns 182% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

8.5%

Modest free cash flow (8.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.16

Conservative — low debt load (0.16)

Interest Cover

59.57x

Comfortably covers interest (59.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

19.8x

Fair value — P/E 19.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward

+5.2

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (19.8 → 14.6)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

2.59%

Moderate income — 2.59% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth

+4.1%

Dividend growing modestly (4.1% YoY)

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