WinstonWınston
Xponential Fitness logo

Xponential Fitness

XPOF
34
Leisure · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$6.66
-0.15 (-2.20%)
Market Cap
$248.5M
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+45.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 23.9M (2021) → 34.8M (2025)

Xponential Fitness owns and sells franchises for boutique fitness studios across ten different workout brands. Those brands include Club Pilates, CycleBar, StretchLab, Row House, and Pure Barre, among others. Customers are everyday people who pay monthly memberships to attend small-group fitness classes, and the company sells franchise licenses to entrepreneurs who want to open and run those studios.

Xponential makes most of its money by collecting franchise fees, royalties on studio sales, and selling equipment and supplies to its franchisees. It operates primarily in North America but has been expanding into international markets like Japan, Australia, and the Middle East. The franchise model creates a relatively steady stream of royalty income without the company needing to own every location itself, which helps explain its high gross margins. The main risk is that boutique fitness is a discretionary expense, meaning members tend to cancel when household budgets get tight, making the business sensitive to economic downturns.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-21.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+79.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

22.2%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Runway

~3 months

$21M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Xponential Fitness has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
84.9%
Premium pricing power — 84.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
24.7%
Excellent — 24.7% operating margin
ROCE
7.7%
Weak — 7.7% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Growth

Sales YoY
-6.1%
Shrinking sales (-6.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-1.1%
Burning cash (-1.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
1.30x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
🔒 See full fundamentals and if they are improving or declining — click here for your free trial now.
Start free trial